La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-04-11 23:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 44.39%2.25momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.826%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.82%44.37%44.43%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.182.2348.78%46.05%45.87%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 55.61%1.80momio equitativo
EV +0.103%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%55.63%55.57%57.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.8060.61%58.59%58.48%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.103%E +0.057%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 14:55
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.57%E -0.884%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 23:05
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 23:14
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:14
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 23:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 23:00
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 22:24
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:35
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.46%E -2.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 22:24
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.79%E -2.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 22:29
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 22:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:10
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 22:49
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 20:10
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 20:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:09
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:11
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:09
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:05
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:55
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:10
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:31
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 22:44
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 02:05
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 22:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.24I 44.64%NM 45.23%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.77%-1.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 20:35
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 21:55
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-04-11 22:25