L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 23:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 44.39%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.826%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.82%44.37%44.43%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.182.2348.78%46.05%45.87%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.61%1.80cote équitable
EV +0.103%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.129%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%55.63%55.57%57.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.8060.61%58.59%58.48%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.103%E +0.057%K +0.129%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 14:55
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.57%E -0.884%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 23:05
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 23:14
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:14
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 23:15
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 23:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 23:00
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 22:24
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:35
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.46%E -2.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 22:24
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.79%E -2.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 22:29
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 22:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:10
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 22:49
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 20:10
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 20:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:09
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:11
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:09
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:25
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 21:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:55
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:05
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:55
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:55
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:10
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:15
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:31
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 22:44
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:45
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 02:05
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 22:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.24I 44.64%NM 45.23%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.77%-1.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 20:35
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 21:55
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-04-11 22:25