Language:English
Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 58.32%1.71fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.850%
Kelly +2.00%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%58.28%58.23%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7462.50%60.77%60.61%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV +0.029%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.021%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.72%41.77%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.76%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 58.32%; Houston Astros (Visit): 41.68%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.48%E +0.850%K +2.00%G +0.030% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.854%E -0.502%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 00:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 00:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.64%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 01:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 01:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.029%E +0.012%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 00:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 23:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85% | -0.0% | 2026-04-12 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 37.27% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 62.73% | 57.8% | 2026-04-12 01:40 |