La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-04-12 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 8–7 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 58.32%1.71momio equitativo
EV +1.48%
Ventaja +0.850%
Kelly +2.00%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%58.28%58.23%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.7462.50%60.77%60.61%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 41.68%2.40momio equitativo
EV +0.029%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.021%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.72%41.77%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.76%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.48%E +0.850%K +2.00%G +0.030%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 01:34
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.854%E -0.502%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 15:44
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 23:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 00:45
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 01:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 01:39
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 01:39
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:49
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 01:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:43
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:05
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 01:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 00:21
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.64%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 15:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:49
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:49
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 23:45
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 01:39
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:59
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 01:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:44
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.029%E +0.012%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 23:11
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%-0.0%2026-04-12 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-12 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-12 01:40
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-12 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-12 01:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-11 15:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-04-12 01:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-04-12 01:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-04-12 01:40
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 37.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 62.73%57.8%2026-04-12 01:40