مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros

البداية: 2026-04-12 01:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 8–7 Houston Astros

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.32%1.71السعر العادل
EV +1.48%
الأفضلية +0.850%
Kelly +2.00%
النمو +0.030%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.69%58.28%58.23%59.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.651.651.7462.50%60.77%60.61%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Houston Astros (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.68%2.40السعر العادل
EV +0.029%
الأفضلية +0.012%
Kelly +0.021%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.15%41.72%41.77%45.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.76%43.48%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.48%E +0.850%K +2.00%G +0.030%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 01:34
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.854%E -0.502%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 15:44
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 23:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 00:45
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 01:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 01:39
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 01:39
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:49
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 01:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:43
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:05
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 01:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 00:21
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.64%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 15:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:49
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:49
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 23:45
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 01:39
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:59
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 01:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:44
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.029%E +0.012%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 23:11
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%-0.0%2026-04-12 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-12 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-12 01:40
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-12 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-12 01:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-11 15:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-04-12 01:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-04-12 01:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-04-12 01:40
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 37.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 62.73%57.8%2026-04-12 01:40