L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 01:41 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 8–7 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 58.32%1.71cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.850%
Kelly +2.00%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%58.28%58.23%59.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.7462.50%60.77%60.61%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.68%2.40cote équitable
EV +0.029%
Avantage +0.012%
Kelly +0.021%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.15%41.72%41.77%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.76%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.48%E +0.850%K +2.00%G +0.030%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 01:34
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.854%E -0.502%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 15:44
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.44%E -0.850%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 23:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 00:45
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 01:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 01:39
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 01:39
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:40
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:49
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.19%E -1.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 01:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 00:43
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:05
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 01:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 00:21
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.64%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 15:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:49
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:49
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.06%E -3.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:50
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 01:34
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 23:45
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 00:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 01:39
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:59
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 01:00
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:45
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:44
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.029%E +0.012%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:00
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 00:45
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 23:11
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%-0.0%2026-04-12 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-12 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-12 01:40
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-12 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-12 01:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-11 15:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-04-12 01:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-04-12 01:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-04-12 01:40
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 37.27%1.01I 99.01%NM 62.73%57.8%2026-04-12 01:40