Language:English
Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 55.68%1.80fair odd
EV +0.220%
Edge +0.122%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.19%55.38%55.70%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.66%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 44.32%2.26fair odd
EV -0.718%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.62%44.30%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.132.152.2451.02%47.03%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.68%; Houston Astros (Visit): 44.32%. For Seattle Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.796. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.220%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.718%E -0.321%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.16%E -0.521%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:27 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 08:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 01:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 13:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 06:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 21:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.46%E -3.85%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.13%E -6.70%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.37% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.63% | -0.3% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |