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Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Predicción 55.68%1.80momio equitativo
EV +0.220%
Ventaja +0.122%
Kelly +0.275%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.19%55.38%55.70%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.66%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Houston Astros (Visitante)
Predicción 44.32%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.718%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.579%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.62%44.30%46.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.132.152.2451.02%47.03%46.51%44.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.68%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 44.32%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.796. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.800, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.220%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.718%E -0.321%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.16%E -0.521%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:27 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 08:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 01:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 13:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 06:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 21:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.46%E -3.85%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.13%E -6.70%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 08:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.37% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.63% | -0.3% | 2026-04-11 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |