L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 01:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 55.68%1.80cote équitable
EV +0.220%
Avantage +0.122%
Kelly +0.275%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.19%55.38%55.70%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.66%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.32%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.718%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.579%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.62%44.30%46.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.132.152.2451.02%47.03%46.51%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 00:50
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:50
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:50
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 01:25
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 01:40
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 01:40
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 01:15
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:40
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 01:40
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.718%E -0.321%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-11 01:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.16%E -0.521%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-10 22:55
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 01:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 01:27
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 08:15
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 01:20
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 01:25
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:44
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:25
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:38
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 01:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 00:34
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 00:34
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 00:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 16:10
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 01:29
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 13:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 01:35
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:39
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 06:15
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:49
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:25
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:08
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:50
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.46%E -3.85%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.13%E -6.70%K -13.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 01:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 08:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 01:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.37%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.63%-0.3%2026-04-11 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-11 01:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-11 01:40
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-11 01:40
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-04-11 01:40
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-11 01:30