A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-04-11 01:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 55.68%1.80odd justa
EV +0.220%
Vantagem +0.122%
Kelly +0.275%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.19%55.38%55.70%56.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.66%57.80%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 44.32%2.26odd justa
EV -0.718%
Vantagem -0.321%
Kelly -0.579%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.62%44.30%46.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.962.132.152.2451.02%47.03%46.51%44.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 00:50
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV +0.220%E +0.122%K +0.275%G +0.001%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -8.70%E -4.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.337%E -0.188%K -0.426%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:50
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:50
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -0.894%E -0.502%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 01:25
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 01:40
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -1.45%E -0.819%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -9.58%E -4.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 01:40
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 01:15
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:40
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.01%E -1.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 01:40
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.718%E -0.321%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-11 01:39
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.16%E -0.521%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-10 22:55
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 01:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.60%E -0.723%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-11 01:27
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 08:15
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 01:20
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 01:25
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:44
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.68%E -2.13%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 01:25
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:38
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 01:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 00:34
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 00:34
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 00:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 16:10
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 01:29
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 13:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 01:35
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:39
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 06:15
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:49
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:25
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.15%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:08
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:50
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.26%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -6.46%E -3.85%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -13.13%E -6.70%K -13.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 01:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 08:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 01:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.15%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.37%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.63%-0.3%2026-04-11 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-11 01:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-11 01:40
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-11 01:40
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-04-11 01:40
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-04-11 01:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-11 01:30