Language:English
Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 62.12%1.61fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.85%61.95%62.50%63.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5866.67%64.89%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 37.88%2.64fair odd
EV +0.757%
Edge +0.285%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.67%38.05%37.50%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.512.502.6642.74%39.82%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 62.12%; Houston Astros (Visit): 37.88%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.757%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.757%E +0.285%K +0.456%G +0.003% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.757%E +0.285%K +0.456%G +0.003% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.378%E +0.143%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.758%E -0.289%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.14%E -0.436%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.85%E -1.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.20%E -4.10%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.03%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.20%E -4.10%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 19:22 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 19:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.06%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.06%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.85%E -1.17%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 18:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.99%E -4.67%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -11.36%E -4.86%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-04-12 19:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 20:10 |