مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros

البداية: 2026-04-12 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 6–1 Houston Astros

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.12%1.61السعر العادل
EV -1.85%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -3.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.85%61.95%62.50%63.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.541.541.5866.67%64.89%64.94%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Houston Astros (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.88%2.64السعر العادل
EV +0.757%
الأفضلية +0.285%
Kelly +0.456%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.67%38.05%37.50%40.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.342.512.502.6642.74%39.82%40.00%37.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.757%E +0.285%K +0.456%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-12 18:20
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.757%E +0.285%K +0.456%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-12 18:15
Everygame1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.378%E +0.143%K +0.229%G +0.001%2.7%2026-04-12 18:19
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 18:15
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.758%E -0.289%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 18:15
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.14%E -0.436%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 19:55
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:20
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:39
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:25
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.85%E -1.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 18:25
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 20:05
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 18:15
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.20%E -4.10%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.03%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 20:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:20
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:20
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:09
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:45
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.20%E -4.10%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 19:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 19:22
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 18:35
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:24
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:35
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:54
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.06%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:20
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.06%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.85%E -1.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 19:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:34
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:24
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.99%E -4.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 20:10
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -11.36%E -4.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-12 20:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 20:05
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 20:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-04-12 20:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-04-12 20:10
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-12 19:24
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%2.4%2026-04-12 20:10