A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-04-12 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 6–1 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 62.12%1.61odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -3.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.85%61.95%62.50%63.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.541.541.5866.67%64.89%64.94%63.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 37.88%2.64odd justa
EV +0.757%
Vantagem +0.285%
Kelly +0.456%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.67%38.05%37.50%40.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.342.512.502.6642.74%39.82%40.00%37.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.757%E +0.285%K +0.456%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-12 18:20
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +0.757%E +0.285%K +0.456%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-12 18:15
Everygame1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.378%E +0.143%K +0.229%G +0.001%2.7%2026-04-12 18:19
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 18:15
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.758%E -0.289%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 18:15
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.14%E -0.436%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 19:55
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:20
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:39
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.52%E -0.583%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 18:25
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.85%E -1.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 18:25
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 20:05
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 18:15
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.20%E -4.10%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.03%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 20:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:20
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:20
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:09
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 19:45
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 20:00
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.20%E -4.10%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 19:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:00
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 19:22
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 18:35
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:24
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:35
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:54
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 19:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.06%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:20
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.06%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.85%E -1.17%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 19:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.20%E -2.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:34
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:24
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:35
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.95%E -3.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.09%E -1.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.71%E -2.39%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.09%E -3.79%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.33%E -2.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.99%E -4.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 20:10
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.47%E -1.57%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -11.36%E -4.86%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-12 20:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-04-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 20:05
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-12 20:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-04-12 20:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-04-12 20:10
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-12 19:24
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%2.4%2026-04-12 20:10