The School of Odds
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Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-06 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 53.39%1.87fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.76%53.58%53.33%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8559.88%56.67%56.66%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.985%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.42%46.67%47.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.072.082.1751.02%48.27%47.96%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.39%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 46.61%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.17, producing a positive expected value of +1.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +1.15%E +0.531%K +0.985%G +0.011%1.9%2026-08-05 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:15
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.24%E -0.668%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:40
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.85%E -6.49%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.31%E -3.14%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:50
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:49
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.18%E -4.75%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.18%E -4.75%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.64%E -4.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 00:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-06 00:55
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-05 21:45
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-06 00:40
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-08-06 00:20
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-08-06 00:50