Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-06 20:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 53.39%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.702%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -0.816%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.67%53.53%53.33%55.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.771.8659.88%56.54%56.50%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 46.61%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.246%
Ventaja -0.115%
Kelly -0.216%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.85%46.47%46.67%47.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.072.052.1451.02%48.40%48.66%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.39%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 46.61%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.15. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.14, con un valor esperado de -0.246%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.702%E -0.377%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.24%E -0.668%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 00:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:15
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.98%E -1.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.31%E -3.14%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 20:45
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.98%E -1.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:49
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.18%E -4.75%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.18%E -4.75%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.64%E -4.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.85%E -6.49%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-05 21:45
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-08-06 01:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-06 00:40
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-08-06 00:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-08-06 00:50