Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-08-06 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 0–11 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 52.37%1.91odd justa
EV +0.028%
Vantagem +0.015%
Kelly +0.031%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.35%52.35%52.33%53.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.821.811.9157.47%54.95%55.25%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 47.63%2.10odd justa
EV +0.021%
Vantagem +0.010%
Kelly +0.019%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.56%47.65%47.67%48.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.012.022.1052.63%49.74%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 52.37%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 47.63%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.909. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.910, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.028%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV +0.028%E +0.015%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 20:10
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.54%E -0.821%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.54%E -0.821%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 20:10
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.54%E -0.821%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 19:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.07%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 17:29
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.07%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.07%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.07%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.07%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.59%E -1.39%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.88%E -0.915%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 18:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.11%E -1.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.27%E -2.12%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 19:55
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.11%E -1.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.11%E -1.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.021%E +0.010%K +0.019%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.41%E -0.680%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 20:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:30
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:45
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.68%E -2.57%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.68%E -2.57%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.84%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.68%E -2.57%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.68%E -2.57%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 19:54
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.21%E -2.88%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:30
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.21%E -2.88%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.21%E -2.88%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.21%E -2.88%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:30
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.21%E -2.88%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.21%E -2.88%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.21%E -2.88%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 18:35
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 17:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.36%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:09
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.79%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 20:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 20:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 20:05
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.73%E -3.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.35%E -4.77%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -8.87%E -5.10%K -11.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -7.60%E -3.92%K -8.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-06 19:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.99%2.09I 47.85%NM 48.01%-0.3%2026-08-06 20:09
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%0.9%2026-08-06 20:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-06 19:40
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-06 19:10
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-06 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-06 20:10
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-06 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-06 20:10
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-08-06 20:05