Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-06 20:11 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 53.39%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.702%
Avantage -0.377%
Kelly -0.816%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.67%53.53%53.33%55.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8659.88%56.54%56.50%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.61%2.15cote équitable
EV -0.246%
Avantage -0.115%
Kelly -0.216%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.85%46.47%46.67%47.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.072.052.1451.02%48.40%48.66%46.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Seattle Mariners (Local) : 53.39% ; Detroit Tigers (Visiteur) : 46.61%. Pour Detroit Tigers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.15. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.14, pour une espérance de -0.246% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.702%E -0.377%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.24%E -0.668%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 00:15
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 00:15
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.98%E -1.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.91%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.31%E -3.14%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 20:45
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.98%E -1.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.51%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:49
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.57%E -3.76%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.11%E -4.09%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -0.246%E -0.115%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.18%E -0.556%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 21:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.18%E -4.75%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.18%E -4.75%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.64%E -4.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.85%E -6.49%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-05 21:45
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-08-06 01:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-06 00:40
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-08-06 00:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-08-06 00:50