Language:English
Seattle Mariners v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 60.08%1.66fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.00%60.15%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.591.591.6364.52%62.94%62.89%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 39.92%2.51fair odd
EV -0.205%
Edge -0.082%
Kelly -0.136%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.00%39.85%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.78%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 60.08%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 39.92%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.205%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.07%E -1.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.732%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 19:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.205%E -0.082%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.40%E -0.568%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 19:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 17:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 19:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24% | 1.4% | 2026-07-22 19:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
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