مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-07-22 19:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 3–5 Cincinnati Reds

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.08%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.07%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -3.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.44%60.00%60.15%60.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.591.591.6364.52%62.94%62.89%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.92%2.51السعر العادل
EV -0.205%
الأفضلية -0.082%
Kelly -0.136%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.05%40.00%39.85%41.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.78%41.67%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.07%E -1.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.732%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 19:05
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 19:39
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-22 17:29
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-22 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 19:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 19:40
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.205%E -0.082%K -0.136%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 19:39
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 19:39
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 18:34
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 18:34
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:50
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 18:59
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 19:29
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:49
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 17:19
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:39
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 19:39
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.40%E -0.568%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 18:44
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 18:44
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 18:59
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 19:35
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:19
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 19:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 19:34
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:39
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:30
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 19:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 19:39
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:39
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:39
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:04
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:44
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:34
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:44
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:35
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:35
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 19:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 19:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 17:18
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 18:59
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 19:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 17:34
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 18:34
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 19:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-07-22 19:35
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-07-22 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-22 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-22 19:35
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 17:50
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 19:40
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%1.4%2026-07-22 19:24
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-07-22 19:40
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-07-22 19:40