A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-07-22 19:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–5 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 60.08%1.66odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -3.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.44%60.00%60.15%60.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.591.591.6364.52%62.94%62.89%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 39.92%2.51odd justa
EV -0.205%
Vantagem -0.082%
Kelly -0.136%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.05%40.00%39.85%41.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.78%41.67%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.07%E -1.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.732%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 19:05
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 19:39
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-22 17:29
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-22 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 19:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 19:40
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.205%E -0.082%K -0.136%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 19:39
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 19:39
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 18:34
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 18:34
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:50
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 18:59
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 19:29
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 17:49
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 17:19
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:39
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 19:39
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.40%E -0.568%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 18:44
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 18:44
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 18:59
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 19:35
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:19
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 19:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 19:34
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:39
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:30
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 19:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 19:39
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:39
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:39
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:04
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:29
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:44
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:34
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:44
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:35
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:35
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 19:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 19:39
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 17:18
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 18:59
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 19:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 17:34
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 18:34
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 19:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-07-22 19:35
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-07-22 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-22 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-22 19:35
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 17:50
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-22 19:40
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%1.4%2026-07-22 19:24
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-07-22 19:40
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-07-22 19:40