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Seattle Mariners v Cincinnati Reds
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Seattle Mariners (Хозяева)
Прогноз 60.08%1.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.07%
Преимущество -1.27%
Kelly -3.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.63
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.44%60.00%60.15%60.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.551.591.591.6364.52%62.94%62.89%61.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cincinnati Reds (Гости)
Прогноз 39.92%2.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.205%
Преимущество -0.082%
Kelly -0.136%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.05%40.00%39.85%41.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.78%41.67%40.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Seattle Mariners (Хозяева): 60.08%; Cincinnati Reds (Гости): 39.92%. Для исхода «Cincinnati Reds (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.51. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.50, математическое ожидание — -0.205%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.07%E -1.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.80%E -0.732%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 19:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.205%E -0.082%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.604%E -0.243%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.99%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.40%E -0.568%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.18%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 19:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.898%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.60%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 17:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.87%E -4.43%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 19:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 19:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24% | 1.4% | 2026-07-22 19:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 19:40 |