Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–0 Baltimore Orioles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 53.96%1.85fair odd
EV -0.180%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.81%54.11%54.07%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.26%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 46.04%2.17fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.89%45.93%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2350.00%47.37%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 53.96%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 46.04%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +2.68%E +1.20%K +2.18%G +0.058%3.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.3%2026-06-18 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 20:01
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -10.43%E -6.28%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -0.547%E -0.253%K -0.471%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 18:50
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:00
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.47%E -0.686%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:09
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.688%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:10
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 20:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 20:00
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 20:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 20:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 20:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-06-18 20:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%3.5%2026-06-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09