默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

开赛时间: 2026-06-18 20:11 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Mariners 3–0 Baltimore Orioles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 53.96%1.85公平赔率
EV -0.180%
优势 -0.097%
Kelly -0.212%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
52.81%54.11%54.07%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.26%57.14%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Baltimore Orioles (客队)

预测 46.04%2.17公平赔率
EV +2.68%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +2.18%
增长率 +0.058%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%45.89%45.93%47.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.112.102.2350.00%47.37%47.62%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Mariners (主队):53.96%;Baltimore Orioles (客队):46.04%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.17。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.23,对应+2.68%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +2.68%E +1.20%K +2.18%G +0.058%3.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.3%2026-06-18 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 20:01
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -10.43%E -6.28%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -0.547%E -0.253%K -0.471%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 18:50
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:00
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.47%E -0.686%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:09
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.688%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:10
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 20:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 20:00
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 20:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 20:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 20:08
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-06-18 20:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%3.5%2026-06-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09