مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-06-18 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 3–0 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.96%1.85السعر العادل
EV -0.180%
الأفضلية -0.097%
Kelly -0.212%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.81%54.11%54.07%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.26%57.14%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.04%2.17السعر العادل
EV +2.68%
الأفضلية +1.20%
Kelly +2.18%
النمو +0.058%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%45.89%45.93%47.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.102.2350.00%47.37%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +2.68%E +1.20%K +2.18%G +0.058%3.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.3%2026-06-18 13:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 20:01
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -10.43%E -6.28%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -0.547%E -0.253%K -0.471%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 18:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.47%E -0.686%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:09
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:08
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:00
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.688%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 20:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:50
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 20:00
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 20:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 20:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 20:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-06-18 20:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%3.5%2026-06-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09