L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 20:11 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 3–0 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 53.96%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.180%
Avantage -0.097%
Kelly -0.212%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.81%54.11%54.07%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.26%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.04%2.17cote équitable
EV +2.68%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +2.18%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.89%45.93%47.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2350.00%47.37%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +2.68%E +1.20%K +2.18%G +0.058%3.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%4.3%2026-06-18 18:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-18 18:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.89%E -5.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.29%E +0.589%K +1.08%G +0.014%5.3%2026-06-18 13:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.35%E -5.57%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.374%E +0.172%K +0.317%G +0.001%5.4%2026-06-18 18:50
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-18 20:01
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.086%E -0.040%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -10.43%E -6.28%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -0.547%E -0.253%K -0.471%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 18:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.01%E -0.468%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.47%E -0.686%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:09
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.39%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:08
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:00
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.26%E -0.688%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 20:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 20:09
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:50
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.19%E -4.18%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.27%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.31%E -1.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 20:00
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -0.180%E -0.097%K -0.212%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 20:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.69%E -2.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 20:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 20:10
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.22%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 20:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 20:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 20:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.65%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 20:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.91%E -3.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 20:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-06-18 20:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-18 20:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-06-18 20:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-18 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-06-18 20:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%3.5%2026-06-18 20:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%5.2%2026-06-18 20:09