Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.37
assuming max odds 1.72
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Giants (Local): 42.48%; Houston Astros (Visit): 57.52%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.668%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV +0.668%E +0.282%K +0.488%G +0.003% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.181%E -0.077%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-12 13:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.88%E -0.814%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 18:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 15:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.06%E -0.615%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 18:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.58%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-12 07:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-12 07:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 19:32 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.40%E -3.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.95%E -4.69%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 13:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 19:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |