Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros

2026-08-12 19:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV +0.831%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.85%43.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.162.3048.78%46.25%46.30%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV -0.035%
Edge -0.019%
Kelly -0.044%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.15%56.27%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.701.7860.98%58.84%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Francisco Giants (Local): 43.84%; Houston Astros (Visit): 56.16%. For San Francisco Giants (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.30, producing a positive expected value of +0.831%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.831%E +0.361%K +0.639%G +0.005%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 05:24
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 06:14
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 05:34
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 06:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 06:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 06:05
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 06:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 06:28
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.34%E -4.45%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 06:49
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.99%E -1.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 06:26
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 05:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:20
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 05:29
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:04
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:04
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:03
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:04
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 06:30
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.035%E -0.019%K -0.044%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 05:49
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 05:30
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 05:30
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 06:04
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 06:29
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 06:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 06:30
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 05:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 05:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 05:29
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 05:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 06:19
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 06:30
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.53%E -2.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 07:00
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 06:19
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 05:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 06:19
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 06:14
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.21%E -3.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 06:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.09%E -3.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 06:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.65%E -3.36%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 07:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.50%E -3.55%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.84%E -1.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 05:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.72%E -0.983%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 06:25
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 05:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.40%E -1.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 07:14
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.97%E -2.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 06:19
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 06:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.90%E -4.82%K -12.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 06:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 05:59
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-08-12 05:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-08-12 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-08-12 07:30
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-08-12 07:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-08-12 07:29
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%4.4%2026-08-12 07:10
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%4.4%2026-08-12 07:30
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.34%Caesars 2.30 (43.6%) / 1xBet 1.78 (56.4%)Show details
San Francisco Giants (Local)Houston Astros (Visit)Margin
Caesars🎯 2.30 (43.6%)1xBet🎯 1.78 (56.4%)+0.343%

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