Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 19:46 UTC

Score final : San Francisco Giants 1–2 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Prévision 42.48%2.35cote équitable
EV +0.668%
Avantage +0.282%
Kelly +0.488%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.75%42.35%42.48%43.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.242.252.3747.17%44.61%44.44%42.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.52%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.615%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.60%57.65%57.52%59.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.09%59.88%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Francisco Giants (Local) : 42.48% ; Houston Astros (Visiteur) : 57.52%. Pour San Francisco Giants (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.35. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.37, soit une espérance positive de +0.668%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV +0.668%E +0.282%K +0.488%G +0.003%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-12 19:45
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.181%E -0.077%K -0.134%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-12 13:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 19:39
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 19:45
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.88%E -0.814%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 19:44
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 18:35
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 15:24
BetAnything🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 19:39
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.06%E -0.615%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.58%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 07:39
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 07:39
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 15:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 19:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 13:04
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:35
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:24
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 19:44
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 18:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:44
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:28
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 12:15
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:09
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 18:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:32
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.40%E -3.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.95%E -4.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-12 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-12 19:25
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-08-12 19:45
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-12 17:30
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-12 13:35
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-12 19:45
BetOpenly◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-12 19:39
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-08-12 19:24