Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-12 19:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 1–2 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 42.48%2.35odd justa
EV +0.668%
Vantagem +0.282%
Kelly +0.488%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.75%42.35%42.48%43.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.242.252.3747.17%44.61%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 57.52%1.74odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.60%57.65%57.52%59.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.09%59.88%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 42.48%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 57.52%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.35. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.668%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV +0.668%E +0.282%K +0.488%G +0.003%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-12 19:45
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.181%E -0.077%K -0.134%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-12 13:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 19:39
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.46%E -0.627%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 19:45
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.88%E -0.814%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 19:44
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 18:35
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 15:24
BetAnything🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 19:39
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.06%E -0.615%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.58%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 07:39
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-12 07:39
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 15:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 19:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 13:04
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:35
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:24
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 19:44
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.63%E -0.955%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 18:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:44
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:28
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 12:15
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:09
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 18:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.93%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:32
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.40%E -3.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.95%E -4.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 19:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-12 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-12 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-12 19:25
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-08-12 19:45
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-12 17:30
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-12 13:35
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-12 19:45
BetOpenly◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-12 19:39
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-08-12 19:24