语言:简体中文
San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
San Diego Padres (主队)
预测 61.97%1.61公平赔率
EV -0.227%
优势 -0.141%
Kelly -0.372%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.61
博彩公司预测分布
59.85%61.96%61.93%63.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.62%64.52%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 38.03%2.63公平赔率
EV +0.017%
优势 +0.006%
Kelly +0.010%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.63
博彩公司预测分布
36.27%38.04%38.07%40.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.332.492.502.6342.92%40.12%40.00%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：San Diego Padres (主队)：61.97%；Washington Nationals (客队)：38.03%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.6296。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.6300，对应+0.017%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.017%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.28%E -5.60%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.12%E -0.432%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.88%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 05:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 15:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 07:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.04%E -4.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.07%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -0.227%E -0.141%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -11.39%E -4.89%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |