Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

Начало: 2026-09-09 20:11 UTC

Итог: San Diego Padres 9–2 Washington Nationals

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

66 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

San Diego Padres (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.97%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.227%
Преимущество -0.141%
Kelly -0.372%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.61

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.85%61.96%61.93%63.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.62%64.52%62.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Washington Nationals (Гости)

Прогноз 38.03%2.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.017%
Преимущество +0.006%
Kelly +0.010%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.63

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.27%38.04%38.07%40.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.332.492.502.6342.92%40.12%40.00%38.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: San Diego Padres (Хозяева): 61.97%; Washington Nationals (Гости): 38.03%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.6296. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.6300, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.017%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.017%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.28%E -5.60%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.12%E -0.432%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:00
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.88%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 05:33
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 15:58
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:30
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 16:34
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:24
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 07:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.04%E -4.70%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 15:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 16:34
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 16:45
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.07%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:23
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -0.227%E -0.141%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -11.39%E -4.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-09 12:40
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-09-09 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%2.5%2026-09-09 17:05