Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-09 20:11 UTC

Score final : San Diego Padres 9–2 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 61.97%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.227%
Avantage -0.141%
Kelly -0.372%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.85%61.96%61.93%63.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.62%64.52%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.03%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.017%
Avantage +0.006%
Kelly +0.010%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.27%38.04%38.07%40.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.332.492.502.6342.92%40.12%40.00%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Diego Padres (Local) : 61.97% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 38.03%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.6296. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.6300, soit une espérance positive de +0.017%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.017%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.28%E -5.60%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.12%E -0.432%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:00
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.88%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 05:33
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 15:58
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:30
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 16:34
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:24
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 07:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.04%E -4.70%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 15:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 16:34
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 16:45
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.07%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:23
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -0.227%E -0.141%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -11.39%E -4.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-09 12:40
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-09-09 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%2.5%2026-09-09 17:05