Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

Początek: 2026-09-09 20:11 UTC

Wynik końcowy: San Diego Padres 9–2 Washington Nationals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

San Diego Padres (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.97%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -0.227%
Przewaga -0.141%
Kelly -0.372%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.85%61.96%61.93%63.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.62%64.52%62.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Washington Nationals (Goście)

Prognoza 38.03%2.63kurs godziwy
EV +0.017%
Przewaga +0.006%
Kelly +0.010%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.27%38.04%38.07%40.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.332.492.502.6342.92%40.12%40.00%38.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: San Diego Padres (Gospodarze): 61.97%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 38.03%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.6296. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.6300, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.017%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.017%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.744%E -0.285%K -0.462%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.28%E -5.60%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.12%E -0.432%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:00
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.88%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 05:33
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:55
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.27%E -0.881%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 15:58
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.65%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:30
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 16:34
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:24
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 07:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.04%E -4.70%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.03%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.41%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 15:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 16:34
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 16:45
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.93%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.56%E -2.96%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.69%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.18%E -3.39%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.07%E -2.46%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:23
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.47%E -0.922%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.80%E -3.82%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.79%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.71%E -1.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.59%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -0.227%E -0.141%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.33%E -2.13%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.73%E -3.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.49%E -3.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -11.39%E -4.89%K -8.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-09-09 16:50
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-09 12:40
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-09-09 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%2.5%2026-09-09 17:05