Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals

2026-09-09 20:11 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 63.31%1.58quota equa
EV +0.026%
Vantaggio +0.017%
Kelly +0.045%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.93%63.33%63.34%64.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.511.501.5868.97%66.43%66.45%63.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.69%2.73quota equa
EV -0.931%
Vantaggio -0.345%
Kelly -0.548%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.68%36.67%36.66%38.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.592.602.7041.67%38.56%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: San Diego Padres (Casa): 63.31%; Washington Nationals (Trasferta): 36.69%. Per San Diego Padres (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.5796. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 1.5800, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.026%.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.045%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.03%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.03%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 18:34
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-08 18:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.14%E -2.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.931%E -0.345%K -0.548%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.14%E -2.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 18:10
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.14%E -2.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 20:14
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.14%E -2.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 18:10
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:24
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.50%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 19:04
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 19:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 19:05
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.67%E -3.81%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.97%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 19:04
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 19:04
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -7.57%E -5.19%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.20%E -5.66%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.94%E -4.97%K -8.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-08 19:45
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-09-08 20:20
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%6.1%2026-09-08 20:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%10.3%2026-09-08 19:00