Language:English
San Diego Padres v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 48.11%2.08fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.488%
Kelly +0.931%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.29%48.11%48.08%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.84%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 51.89%1.93fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%51.89%51.92%53.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9056.50%54.65%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 48.11%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 51.89%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +1.02%E +0.488%K +0.931%G +0.010% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -6.07%E -3.36%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.40%E -0.738%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 19:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.67%E -3.44%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.15%E -3.71%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.64%E -3.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 22:37 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87% | -0.1% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 22:40 |