La scuola delle quote

San Diego Padres v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-05-25 22:41 UTC

Finale: San Diego Padres 0–3 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 48.11%2.08quota equa
EV +1.02%
Vantaggio +0.488%
Kelly +0.931%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.29%48.11%48.08%49.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.84%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.89%1.93quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.738%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.53%51.89%51.92%53.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.831.831.9056.50%54.65%54.64%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +1.02%E +0.488%K +0.931%G +0.010%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -6.07%E -3.36%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:30
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-25 19:50
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 22:29
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.40%E -0.738%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 22:39
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 22:30
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:39
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:39
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 22:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:40
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 19:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:40
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 16:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 22:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 19:48
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:39
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 22:30
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.67%E -3.44%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.15%E -3.71%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.64%E -3.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 22:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 22:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:37
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-05-25 22:39
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-25 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:40
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-25 22:40
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-25 22:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-25 22:40