مدرسة الاحتمالات

San Diego Padres v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-05-25 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: San Diego Padres 0–3 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

San Diego Padres (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.11%2.08السعر العادل
EV +1.02%
الأفضلية +0.488%
Kelly +0.931%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.29%48.11%48.08%49.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.84%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.89%1.93السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.738%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.53%51.89%51.92%53.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.831.831.9056.50%54.65%54.64%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +1.02%E +0.488%K +0.931%G +0.010%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -6.07%E -3.36%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:30
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-25 19:50
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 22:29
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.40%E -0.738%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 22:39
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 22:30
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:39
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:39
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 22:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:40
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 19:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:40
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 16:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 22:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 19:48
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:39
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 22:30
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.67%E -3.44%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.15%E -3.71%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.64%E -3.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 22:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 22:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:37
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-05-25 22:39
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-25 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:40
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-25 22:40
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-25 22:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-25 22:40