La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-05-25 22:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 0–3 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 48.11%2.08momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.488%
Kelly +0.931%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.29%48.11%48.08%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.84%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 51.89%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.738%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%51.89%51.92%53.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.831.831.9056.50%54.65%54.64%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +1.02%E +0.488%K +0.931%G +0.010%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -6.07%E -3.36%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.419%E -0.203%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.11%E -3.97%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 22:30
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.900%E -0.437%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 22:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-25 19:50
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 22:29
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.38%E -0.674%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.40%E -0.738%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 22:39
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-25 22:30
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.34%E -1.15%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 22:39
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:39
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.82%E -1.40%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 22:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-25 22:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 22:40
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 19:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:40
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 16:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 22:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 15:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.79%E -1.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 19:48
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 22:39
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 22:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:40
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.75%E -2.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 22:30
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.23%E -2.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.44%E -1.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.00%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.19%E -3.18%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.67%E -3.44%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.15%E -3.71%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.64%E -3.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.52%E -2.45%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 22:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.96%E -1.58%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 22:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.12%E -4.25%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.04%E -2.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 22:37
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-05-25 22:39
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-25 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-25 22:40
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-25 22:40
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-25 22:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-25 18:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-25 22:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-25 22:40