Language:English
San Diego Padres v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 53.78%1.86fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%53.84%53.78%55.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.771.8358.14%56.43%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 46.22%2.16fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.767%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.56%46.16%46.22%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.052.2051.28%48.36%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 53.78%; New York Yankees (Visit): 46.22%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024% | 2.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024% | 2.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.22%E +0.559%K +1.03%G +0.013% | 2.5% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005% | 2.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.300%E +0.138%K +0.257%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.624%E -0.290%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-05 23:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.866%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.96%E -4.02%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-05 23:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.41%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:14 |