Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 23:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prévision 53.78%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%53.84%53.78%55.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.771.771.8358.14%56.43%56.50%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.22%2.16cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.767%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.56%46.16%46.22%47.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.052.2051.28%48.36%48.78%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Diego Padres (Local) : 53.78% ; New York Yankees (Visiteur) : 46.22%. Pour New York Yankees (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.16. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.20, soit une espérance positive de +1.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.22%E +0.559%K +1.03%G +0.013%2.5%2026-09-05 23:10
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005%2.1%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.300%E +0.138%K +0.257%G +0.001%1.9%2026-09-05 23:03
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.624%E -0.290%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:13
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.866%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:00
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-05 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.96%E -4.02%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:08
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.41%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-05 23:15
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-05 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-05 23:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-09-05 23:15
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%4.3%2026-09-05 23:14