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San Diego Padres v New York Yankees
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 53.78%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.866%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%53.84%53.78%55.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.771.771.8358.14%56.43%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Yankees (Visitante)
Predicción 46.22%2.16momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.767%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.56%46.16%46.22%47.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.052.2051.28%48.36%48.78%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Diego Padres (Local): 53.78%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 46.22%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.16. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.69%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024% | 2.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024% | 2.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.22%E +0.559%K +1.03%G +0.013% | 2.5% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005% | 2.1% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.300%E +0.138%K +0.257%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.624%E -0.290%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-05 23:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.866%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-05 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.96%E -4.02%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-05 23:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.41%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:14 |