默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres v New York Yankees

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 23:16 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Diego Padres (主队)

预测 53.78%1.86公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.866%
Kelly -1.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
52.36%53.84%53.78%55.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.771.771.8358.14%56.43%56.50%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 46.22%2.16公平赔率
EV +1.69%
优势 +0.767%
Kelly +1.41%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
44.56%46.16%46.22%47.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.072.052.2051.28%48.36%48.78%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:San Diego Padres (主队):53.78%;New York Yankees (客队):46.22%。 对于“New York Yankees (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.20,对应+1.69%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.22%E +0.559%K +1.03%G +0.013%2.5%2026-09-05 23:10
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005%2.1%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.763%E +0.350%K +0.646%G +0.005%2.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.300%E +0.138%K +0.257%G +0.001%1.9%2026-09-05 23:03
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.624%E -0.290%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.09%E -0.508%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:13
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.59%E -0.866%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:00
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-05 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.94%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.74%E -2.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.27%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.96%E -4.02%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:08
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.41%E -4.80%K -9.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-09-05 23:15
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-05 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-09-05 23:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-09-05 23:15
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%4.3%2026-09-05 23:14