Language:English
San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 64.64%1.55fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%64.72%64.58%65.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5270.92%67.79%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 35.36%2.83fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.521%
Kelly +0.800%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.02%35.28%35.42%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8740.00%37.10%37.04%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 64.64%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 35.36%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV +1.50%E +0.521%K +0.800%G +0.012% | 2.4% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.14%E +0.400%K +0.614%G +0.007% | 2.5% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +1.14%E +0.400%K +0.614%G +0.007% | 2.5% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV +0.082%E +0.029%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -0.979%E -0.350%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -5.63%E -3.86%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -1.33%E -0.478%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -1.69%E -0.607%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.75%E -1.15%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -2.04%E -0.737%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 13:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.04%E -0.737%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.75%E -0.999%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.75%E -0.999%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.75%E -0.999%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.75%E -0.999%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.92%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.75%E -0.999%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.81%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 13:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 13:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 13:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.92%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -5.22%E -1.95%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 10:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -5.22%E -1.95%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.22%E -1.95%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.58%E -2.09%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 05:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 05:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 05:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.63%E -3.86%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.63%E -3.86%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.63%E -3.86%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.63%E -3.86%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.28%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -4.99%E -3.39%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 13:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 13:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.92%E -4.81%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.05%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.57%E -5.29%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.05%E -3.10%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.34%E -2.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.82%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -8.86%E -6.29%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -11.59%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.59% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.41% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |