Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins

2026-09-19 01:41 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego Padres (Casa)

Previsione 63.27%1.58quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.836%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.01%63.27%63.27%64.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.30%66.45%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.73%2.72quota equa
EV -0.453%
Vantaggio -0.167%
Kelly -0.265%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.94%36.73%36.73%37.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.592.602.7142.55%38.62%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: San Diego Padres (Casa): 63.27%; Miami Marlins (Trasferta): 36.73%. Per Miami Marlins (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.72. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.71, con un valore atteso del -0.453%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -1.30%E -0.836%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.453%E -0.167%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.453%E -0.167%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 19:00
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.820%E -0.304%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 19:20
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.29%E -0.861%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-17 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 19:19
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 01:45
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 23:04
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.17%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.820%E -0.304%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-18 01:05
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 21:04
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.17%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 21:54
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 21:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 21:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 23:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 02:35
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:05
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:05
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 19:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:10
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 01:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:19
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.86%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.00%E -4.76%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.63%E -5.23%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.90%E -6.18%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.68%E -5.82%K -10.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 01:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-17 22:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-18 01:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-09-18 00:40
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-09-18 00:55
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%4.7%2026-09-18 02:05
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%8.9%2026-09-18 02:35