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San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins
Resultado del partido
San Diego Padres (Local)
Predicción 63.27%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.836%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.01%63.27%63.27%64.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.30%66.45%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 36.73%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.453%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.265%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.94%36.73%36.73%37.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.592.602.7142.55%38.62%38.46%36.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Diego Padres (Local): 63.27%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 36.73%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.71, con un valor esperado de -0.453%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -1.30%E -0.836%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.453%E -0.167%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.453%E -0.167%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.820%E -0.304%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.29%E -0.861%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-17 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-17 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 01:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.17%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.820%E -0.304%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.17%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 21:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 21:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 19:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 19:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.86%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.00%E -4.76%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.63%E -5.23%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-17 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.90%E -6.18%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.68%E -5.82%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |