Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins

2026-09-19 01:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 63.27%1.58odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.836%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.01%63.27%63.27%64.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.30%66.45%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 36.73%2.72odd justa
EV -0.453%
Vantagem -0.167%
Kelly -0.265%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.94%36.73%36.73%37.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.592.602.7142.55%38.62%38.46%36.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Diego Padres (Local): 63.27%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 36.73%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.71, com valor esperado de -0.453%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -1.30%E -0.836%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.453%E -0.167%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.453%E -0.167%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-17 19:00
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.820%E -0.304%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 19:20
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.29%E -0.861%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-17 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 19:19
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 01:45
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 23:04
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.17%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.820%E -0.304%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-18 01:05
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 21:04
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.17%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.02%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 21:54
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 21:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.47%E -2.96%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 21:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 23:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.66%E -1.00%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 02:35
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.39%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:05
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:05
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 19:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:10
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 01:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 19:19
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.10%E -3.40%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.37%E -4.30%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.86%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.00%E -4.76%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.76%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.63%E -5.23%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.90%E -6.18%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.68%E -5.82%K -10.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-17 22:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-18 01:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-09-18 00:40
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-09-18 00:55
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%4.7%2026-09-18 02:05
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%8.9%2026-09-18 02:35