The School of Odds
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San Diego Padres v Houston Astros

2026-08-08 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 53.10%1.88fair odd
EV -0.696%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.800%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%53.01%53.25%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.8757.47%55.25%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 46.90%2.13fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.723%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%46.99%46.75%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.022.002.1051.81%49.56%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Diego Padres (Local): 53.10%; Houston Astros (Visit): 46.90%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.87, with an expected value of -0.696%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.696%E -0.372%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:00
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.23%E -0.660%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.92%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 19:04
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.76%E -0.950%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.76%E -0.950%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:45
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.68%E -3.36%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:34
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.52%E -0.723%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 19:20
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.52%E -0.723%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.99%E -0.951%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.99%E -0.951%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.99%E -0.951%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.61%E -3.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.68%E -3.36%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:34
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.61%E -3.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.61%E -3.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 19:45
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -6.54%E -3.71%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.49%E -4.92%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.02%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.02%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-07 18:50
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-07 18:55
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-08-08 01:15
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-08-08 01:15
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%9.3%2026-08-07 21:20