StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Diego Padres v Houston Astros

2026-08-08 23:16 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Diego Padres (Heim)

Prognose 53.11%1.88faire Quote
EV -0.680%
Vorteil -0.364%
Kelly -0.782%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.87

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.57%53.02%53.25%53.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.741.811.801.8757.47%55.29%55.56%53.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.89%2.13faire Quote
EV -1.54%
Vorteil -0.731%
Kelly -1.40%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.34%46.98%46.75%48.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.932.022.022.1051.81%49.49%49.50%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: San Diego Padres (Heim): 53.11%; Houston Astros (Auswärts): 46.89%. Für San Diego Padres (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.88. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.87, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.680%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.680%E -0.364%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:00
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.74%E -0.942%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.00%E -0.959%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.74%E -0.942%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:30
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.74%E -0.942%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.63%E -3.87%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 02:00
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.27%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.69%E -3.36%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:34
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.54%E -0.731%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 19:20
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.54%E -0.731%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.00%E -0.959%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.00%E -0.959%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.00%E -0.959%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 01:20
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.00%E -0.959%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.80%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.63%E -3.87%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 01:50
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:34
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 19:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.63%E -3.87%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.40%E -2.44%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.63%E -3.87%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 02:04
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.29%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.93%E -2.75%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 19:45
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.82%E -2.37%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:18
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.82%E -2.37%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:29
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.99%E -3.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.99%E -3.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -9.51%E -4.93%K -10.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.05%E -4.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.04%E -4.66%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.58%E -4.36%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -9.04%E -4.66%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-07 18:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-07 18:55
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-08-08 01:15
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-08-08 01:55
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%3.3%2026-08-08 02:30
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%9.3%2026-08-07 21:20