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San Diego Padres v Houston Astros
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
San Diego Padres (Хозяева)
Прогноз 53.36%1.87справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.212%
Преимущество -0.113%
Kelly -0.244%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.87
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.53%53.36%53.37%54.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.70%55.56%53.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Houston Astros (Гости)
Прогноз 46.64%2.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.59%
Преимущество -0.756%
Kelly -1.44%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.11
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.91%46.64%46.63%49.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.02%48.78%47.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: San Diego Padres (Хозяева): 53.36%; Houston Astros (Гости): 46.64%. Для исхода «San Diego Padres (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.874. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.870, математическое ожидание — -0.212%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.212%E -0.113%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.212%E -0.113%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.212%E -0.113%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.92%E -5.72%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.746%E -0.401%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.746%E -0.401%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.28%E -0.692%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 01:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.28%E -0.692%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.28%E -0.692%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.46%E -1.67%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.28%E -0.692%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.46%E -1.67%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 22:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.28%E -0.692%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.59%E -0.756%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.06%E -0.981%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.46%E -1.67%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.41%E -1.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.06%E -0.981%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.41%E -1.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.06%E -0.981%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.41%E -1.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 19:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 12:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 01:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.95%E -2.19%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.06%E -4.64%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.46%E -1.67%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.46%E -1.67%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.48%E -2.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.79%E -2.87%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 21:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.93%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.01%E -2.82%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.55%E -3.13%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.55%E -3.13%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.08%E -3.46%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.86%E -2.38%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 23:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.62%E -3.78%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.59%E -4.38%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.15%E -4.11%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.39%E -2.14%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.15%E -4.11%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -8.75%E -5.12%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -8.12%E -4.12%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.28%E -5.46%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 12:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |