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Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 66.12%1.51fair odd
EV -0.824%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.58%66.10%66.27%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.44%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 33.88%2.95fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -0.916%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.90%33.73%35.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.682.822.852.9037.31%35.43%35.09%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 66.12%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 33.88%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -0.824%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -0.824%E -0.549%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.76%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.81%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.15%E -1.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 05:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.47%E -2.38%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.48%E -2.35%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 09:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 04:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 01:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 01:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 10:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.11%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 11:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.77%E -4.80%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 20:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 20:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-13 20:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 66.07% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.93% | -0.4% | 2026-04-13 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-13 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |