Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 22:41 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 16–5 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 66.12%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.824%
Avantage -0.549%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.58%66.10%66.27%67.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.44%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.88%2.95cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -0.916%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%33.90%33.73%35.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.682.822.852.9037.31%35.43%35.09%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pittsburgh Pirates (Local) : 66.12% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 33.88%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.51. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.50, pour une espérance de -0.824% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -0.824%E -0.549%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-13 14:59
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.76%E -0.961%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 22:05
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 22:30
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.48%E -0.997%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -5.81%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 21:10
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.15%E -1.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.52%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 05:24
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:40
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -2.81%E -1.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -9.19%E -3.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:39
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.47%E -2.38%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.48%E -2.35%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:39
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 21:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 09:40
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 20:05
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 04:05
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 01:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:04
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.42%E -0.840%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 10:45
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 01:05
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.11%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.77%E -4.80%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.41%EV -4.79%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 22:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.74%E -0.600%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 00:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 20:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 66.07%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.93%-0.4%2026-04-13 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-04-13 22:35
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-04-13 22:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-12 21:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-13 22:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-04-13 22:40
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-04-13 22:40